53 11 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
802 124 Strength Momentum |
845 41.5(53) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Gallup | 0.003 | 642 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 756 | 75% | |
08/27/15 | Miyamura | 0.004 | 730 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-3) | 650 | 64% | |
09/01/15 | at Grants | 0.012 | 797 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 765 | 47% | |
09/08/15 | at Bosque ? | 0.005 | 1089 | L 0-10 | Expected (-7) | 442 | 13% | |
09/11/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.048 | 506 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 789 | 88% | |
09/12/15 | Robertson | 0.047 | 717 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-4) | 593 | 66% | |
09/12/15 | at ATC | 0.047 | 393 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 764 | 91% | |
09/15/15 | Kirtland Central | 0.086 | 893 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 782 | 42% | |
09/17/15 | at Bloomfield ?? | 0.061 | 761 | L 2- 8 | Worse (-6) | 493 | 52% | |
09/22/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.041 | 1186 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-5) | 546 | 7% | |
09/26/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.257 | 893 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 713 | 34% | |
09/29/15 | Bloomfield !! | 0.359 | 761 | W 4- 2 | Expected (+1) | 866 | 60% | |
10/01/15 | Socorro | 0.163 | 1287 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-2) | 724 | 5% | |
10/03/15 | Hope Christian | 0.040 | 1348 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 539 | 3% | |
10/07/15 | Bosque | 0.393 | 1089 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 729 | 19% | |
10/08/15 | at Navajo Prep | 0.414 | 506 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 871 | 82% | |
10/10/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.101 | 1348 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 571 | 1% | |
10/15/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.166 | 1186 | L 1- 9 | Expected (-4) | 568 | 11% | |
10/17/15 | at Gallup ! | 0.873 | 642 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 788 | 67% | |
10/21/15 | at East Mountain | 0.944 | 1024 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 829 | 19% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rehoboth Christian actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 845, while
Rehoboth Christian's "weighted playing strength" is 773
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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